heater hamby live in boston. let's go back to soledad. >> let's get right to the president's senior campaign adviser, david axelrod joining us this morning. let's talk about ohio. since peter hamby was just laying that out for us. if you look at likely voters, choice for president, cnn/orc poll, 50% for president obama, mitt romney at 47%. little more of a gap there if you're looking at the nbc/"wall street journal"/marist poll which is 51% to 45% for governor romney. when you talk to conservatives, karl rove, for example, he says listen, they're claiming a net gain for the gop in early voting in ohio from four years enough to wipe out the entire margin victory from 2008 for president obama the bottom line being like if they can win tonight that that means that the early votes won't won't matter. what do you say to that? >> of course karl got a bunch of folks to give him hundreds of millions of dollars to try and beat this president so i think he needs to -- he's in hyperspin there. the fact of the matter is that